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Serie B | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
0 - 0
Palermo


Di Cesare (50'), Sibilli (51'), Maiello (67'), Benali (70'), Brenno (90+3'), Menez (90+2')
Maita (50'), Di Cesare (66')
FT

Marconi (24'), Corini (25'), Brunori (64'), Vasic (73'), Insigne (75')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bari 0-3 Parma
Saturday, August 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Palermo
Saturday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
BariDrawPalermo
37.55% (0.217 0.22) 26.98% (0.101 0.1) 35.46% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-0.43 -0.43)54.33% (0.42899999999999 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (-0.358 -0.36)75.71% (0.357 0.36)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)28% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (-0.102 -0.1)63.64% (0.101 0.1)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.405 -0.41)29.25% (0.404 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (-0.502 -0.5)65.21% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Bari 37.55%
    Palermo 35.45%
    Draw 26.98%
BariDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.45%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bari 0-3 Parma
Saturday, August 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Bari 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Bari
Thursday, June 8 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-0 Sudtirol
Friday, June 2 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-0 Bari
Monday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Genoa 4-3 Bari
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Palermo
Saturday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Palermo 2-2 Brescia
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Palermo
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Palermo 2-1 SPAL
Saturday, May 6 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Como 1-1 Palermo
Monday, May 1 at 11.30am in Serie B
Last Game: Palermo 1-1 Benevento
Saturday, April 22 at 3.15pm in Serie B


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