Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
-2.4) 
0.21) 
