Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
