Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
