Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Perugia in this match.
