Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
