SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | Alessandria |
| 50.16% | 25.67% | 24.17% |
| Both teams to score 49.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.99% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% | 75.44% |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% | 21.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.36% | 54.64% |
| Alessandria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.48% | 37.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.7% | 74.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pisa | Draw | Alessandria |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.21% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.17% |
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