Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Alessandria had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Alessandria win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
