Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.46) 
