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UL
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Dec 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Friuli
CL

Udinese
4 - 0
Crotone

Pussetto (20', 62'), De Maio (28'), Success (41' pen.)
Jajalo (36'), Zeegelaar (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

We said: Udinese 2-0 Crotone

Crotone are on a wretched run of results and cannot buy a win at the moment, and while Udinese have also had struggles of their own, we fancy the home team to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawCrotone
44.29%23.82%31.89%
Both teams to score 60.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.78%41.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38%63.62%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12%18.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65%50.35%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2%59.8%
Score Analysis
    Udinese 44.29%
    Crotone 31.89%
    Draw 23.82%
UdineseDrawCrotone
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-1 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.89%

Read more!
Read more!


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