Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
