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Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida

Crotone
4 - 1
Pordenone

Maric (9' pen., 69'), Borello (19'), Kargbo (76')
Estevez (56'), Nedelcearu (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Butic (26' pen.)
Zammarini (34'), Falasco (36'), Camporese (59'), Pinato (60'), Petriccione (68')
Falasco (38')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Crotone and Pordenone Calcio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crotone would win this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawPordenone Calcio
47.56%26.63%25.82%
Both teams to score 47.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64%56.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62%77.38%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15%57.85%
Pordenone Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64%37.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.86%74.14%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 47.56%
    Pordenone Calcio 25.82%
    Draw 26.62%
CrotoneDrawPordenone Calcio
1-0 @ 12.75%
2-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 9.03%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.56%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.86%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.82%

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