Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crotone would win this match.