Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
1.04) 
-0.41) 
