Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Reggina
59.9% ( 0.13)	23.4% ( -0.01)	16.69% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 44.77% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03% (

-0.14)

53.97% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

-0.12)

75.41% (

0.11)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

-0)

17.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

-0)

48.38%

Reggina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.41% (

-0.24)

45.59% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.6% (

-0.19)

81.4% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

SPAL 59.89%

Reggina 16.69%

Draw 23.4%

SPAL	Draw	Reggina
1-0 @ 13.97% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 59.89%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.4%	0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.69%