Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
0.41) 
-0.29) 
