Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
