Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.27%) and 1-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
