Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.