Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.5%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.03) 
