Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.06) 
