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Serie B | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
1 - 0
Sudtirol

Gondo (89' pen.)
Buchel (4'), Donati (13'), Collocolo (58'), Forte (71'), Proia (75'), Simic (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

De Col (36'), Lunetta (40'), Rover (60'), Masiello (81')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 2-0 Ascoli
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Bari
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ascoli in this match.

Result
AscoliDrawSudtirol
45.98% (1.03 1.03) 27.69% (-0.427 -0.43) 26.33% (-0.6 -0.6)
Both teams to score 45.28% (0.715 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.22% (1.117 1.12)59.78% (-1.114 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.93% (0.847 0.85)80.07% (-0.84400000000001 -0.84)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (1.042 1.04)26.01% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (1.38 1.38)61.04% (-1.377 -1.38)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (0.108 0.11)38.8% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (0.101 0.1)75.54% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 45.98%
    Sudtirol 26.33%
    Draw 27.68%
AscoliDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.187 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.188 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.094 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 10.09% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Frosinone 2-0 Ascoli
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 4-3 Brescia
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Venezia
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 4-1 Ascoli
Friday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Bari
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 0-1 Ascoli
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Bari
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Sudtirol
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-0 SPAL
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 0-0 Sudtirol
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-1 Perugia
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Benevento 0-2 Sudtirol
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B


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