Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.