Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.07) 
