Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.18) 
