Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
-0.35) 
0.18) 
