A close one to call, as neither side have been able to find the net regularly in recent weeks, so desperate Genoa can add yet another draw to their substantial total thanks to their newfound industry under Blessin. Taking a point from the Derby della Lanterna would also ensure the lights do not go out for either side in the pursuit of Serie A salvation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 24.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Genoa
51.37%	24.44%	24.19%

Both teams to score 52.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.92%

49.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.85%

71.16%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9%

19.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.29%

50.72%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21%

34.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48%

71.52%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 51.36%

Genoa 24.19%

Draw 24.43%

Sampdoria	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 5.31% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.08% Total : 51.36%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 7.02% 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.19%