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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 15, 2021 at 4.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
4 - 2
Vicenza

Bajrami (11'), Haas (30'), Mancuso (37'), Crociata (87')
Luperto (56'), Ricci (63')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Dalmonte (39'), Lanzafame (56')
Rigoni (31'), Dalmonte (32'), Pontisso (66'), Di Pardo (82')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Empoli and Vicenza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Vicenza win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawVicenza
56.09%22.37%21.53%
Both teams to score 56.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97%43.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.43%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82%15.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2%43.79%
Vicenza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15%33.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.48%70.51%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 56.09%
    Vicenza 21.53%
    Draw 22.37%
EmpoliDrawVicenza
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 9.13%
3-1 @ 6.22%
3-0 @ 5.74%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-0 @ 2.71%
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 56.09%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-1 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.02%
1-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 21.53%

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