Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vicenza would win this match.