Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Reggiana win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Empoli in this match.