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Serie B | Gameweek 37
May 7, 2021 at 1pm UK
 
SL

Reggiana
1 - 2
SPAL

Varone (64')
Del Pinto (21'), Zamparo (22'), Rozzio (70'), Martinelli (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esposito (35'), Espeto (68')
Sernicola (39'), Thiam (62'), Floccari (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Reggiana and SPAL.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.

Result
ReggianaDrawSPAL
29.4%27.08%43.52%
Both teams to score 48.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.87%56.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.8%77.2%
Reggiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67%34.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96%71.04%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53%60.47%
Score Analysis
    Reggiana 29.4%
    SPAL 43.52%
    Draw 27.08%
ReggianaDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 9.39%
2-1 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.4%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.79%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 11.97%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-2 @ 8.16%
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.52%

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