SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aluminij win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aluminij | Draw | NS Mura |
43.85% ( 0.26) | 24.6% ( -0.07) | 31.55% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( 0.24) | 44.98% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( 0.23) | 67.33% ( -0.24) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( 0.22) | 20.6% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( 0.34) | 53.15% ( -0.35) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0) | 27.14% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( -0) | 62.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aluminij | Draw | NS Mura |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.55% |
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