SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for NK Bravo had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a NK Bravo win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | NK Bravo |
66.27% ( 0.35) | 19.62% ( -0.17) | 14.1% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.77% ( 0.36) | 43.22% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.38% ( 0.36) | 65.62% ( -0.36) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( 0.2) | 12.16% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.21% ( 0.43) | 37.79% ( -0.44) |
| NK Bravo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.4% ( -0.04) | 42.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.04% ( -0.03) | 78.95% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | NK Bravo |
| 2-0 @ 11.49% 1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.39% Total : 66.26% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.62% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 14.1% |
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