SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a NS Mura win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NS Mura | Draw | Celje |
18.33% ( 0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.01) | 59.14% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( -0.01) | 48.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( -0.01) | 70.26% ( 0.01) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.89% ( 0.02) | 40.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.25% ( 0.02) | 76.75% ( -0.02) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( -0.01) | 15.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.85% ( -0.02) | 45.15% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| NS Mura | Draw | Celje |
| 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.33% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.04% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.76% 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 59.13% |
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