SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 73.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 10.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for an Aluminij win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Aluminij |
73.41% ( -0.05) | 16.18% ( 0.03) | 10.41% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.31% ( -0.06) | 36.69% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.15% ( -0.07) | 58.85% ( 0.07) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.38% ( -0.02) | 8.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.26% ( -0.06) | 29.74% ( 0.07) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0) | 44.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.54% ( -0) | 80.46% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Aluminij |
| 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 73.41% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.93% Total : 10.41% |
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