Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Rogaska had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Rogaska win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.