SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Nafta had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Nafta win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Nafta |
57.04% ( -0.28) | 22.53% ( 0.11) | 20.42% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( -0.29) | 45.15% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( -0.27) | 67.49% ( 0.27) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( -0.19) | 15.59% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.43% ( -0.36) | 44.57% ( 0.35) |
| Nafta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( 0) | 36.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% ( 0) | 72.91% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Nafta |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 57.04% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.42% |
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