SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Nafta win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nafta | Draw | Maribor |
29.31% ( 0.08) | 24.36% ( 0.01) | 46.33% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.41% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.02) | 45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.02) | 67.35% ( -0.02) |
| Nafta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( 0.06) | 28.64% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% ( 0.08) | 64.46% ( -0.08) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.03) | 19.54% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( -0.04) | 51.45% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nafta | Draw | Maribor |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.33% |
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