SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for NK Bravo had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a NK Bravo win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | NK Bravo |
63.91% ( -0.77) | 21.34% ( 0.32) | 14.74% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 46.55% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% ( -0.44) | 49.26% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% ( -0.4) | 71.32% ( 0.4) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.25% ( -0.38) | 14.74% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.03% ( -0.74) | 42.97% ( 0.74) |
| NK Bravo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.6% ( 0.38) | 45.4% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.74% ( 0.3) | 81.25% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | NK Bravo |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 63.9% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.33% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.74% |
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