SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Aluminij win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Aluminij |
63.92% ( -0.66) | 20.31% ( 0.31) | 15.77% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% ( -0.69) | 42.86% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.74% ( -0.69) | 65.26% ( 0.69) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.28% ( -0.4) | 12.72% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.05% ( -0.82) | 38.95% ( 0.82) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.9% ( 0.04) | 40.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.26% ( 0.04) | 76.74% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Aluminij |
| 2-0 @ 10.84% 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.29% Total : 63.91% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.31% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.77% |
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