SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
43.33% ( -0.45) | 24.27% ( -0.1) | 32.4% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.84% ( 0.69) | 43.15% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.45% ( 0.68) | 65.55% ( -0.68) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( 0.08) | 20.08% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( 0.14) | 52.32% ( -0.14) |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.68) | 25.73% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% ( 0.91) | 60.65% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.4% |
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