SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Celje had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Celje |
48.13% ( 0.21) | 23.08% ( -0.02) | 28.78% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.6% ( -0.02) | 39.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.26% ( -0.02) | 61.73% ( 0.02) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( 0.07) | 16.65% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.5% ( 0.13) | 46.5% ( -0.13) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.14) | 26.16% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( -0.18) | 61.24% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.13% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.78% |
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