SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NS Mura | Draw | Maribor |
26.77% ( -0.27) | 25.03% ( 0.08) | 48.2% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% ( -0.51) | 49.49% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.47% ( -0.46) | 71.53% ( 0.46) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( -0.48) | 32.86% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% ( -0.54) | 69.43% ( 0.53) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0.13) | 20.56% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( -0.2) | 53.08% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| NS Mura | Draw | Maribor |
| 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.77% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 48.19% |
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