Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for NK Bravo had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a NK Bravo win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
-0.35) 
0.16) 
