Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
0.3) 
-0.48) 
