SM
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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rogaska | Draw | Maribor |
29.67% ( 0.3) | 25.76% ( 0.18) | 44.57% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( -0.6) | 50.83% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( -0.53) | 72.71% ( 0.54) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( -0.09) | 31.36% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% ( -0.11) | 67.73% ( 0.11) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0.48) | 22.74% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( -0.72) | 56.42% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rogaska | Draw | Maribor |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.67% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.57% |
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