SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Nafta had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Nafta win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Nafta |
66.07% ( -0.02) | 18.28% ( 0) | 15.65% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.56% ( 0.01) | 33.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.78% ( 0.01) | 55.22% ( -0.02) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.55% ( -0) | 9.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.27% ( -0) | 31.73% ( -0) |
| Nafta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% ( 0.02) | 34.35% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.94% ( 0.02) | 71.06% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Nafta |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.59% 3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.48% 4-0 @ 4.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.69% Total : 66.07% | 1-1 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.28% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 15.65% |
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