SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for an Adana Demirspor win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
58.62% ( 0.11) | 21.51% ( 0.03) | 19.87% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.63% ( -0.36) | 41.36% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.24% ( -0.37) | 63.76% ( 0.37) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( -0.08) | 13.82% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.83% ( -0.16) | 41.16% ( 0.16) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( -0.35) | 34.52% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% ( -0.38) | 71.23% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 58.62% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.87% |
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