Umraniyespor's defence has been vulnerable in recent weeks, and we think that their backline could be in for another tough outing against an in-form Besiktas side, who should have enough quality to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Umraniyespor	Draw	Besiktas
25.26% ( 0.04)	23.29%	51.45% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.63% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.83% (

0.04)

43.17% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.43% (

0.04)

65.57% (

-0.03)

Umraniyespor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

0.05)

30.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05% (

0.06)

66.95% (

-0.06)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

-0)

16.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.16% (

-0)

46.84% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Umraniyespor 25.26%

Besiktas 51.45%

Draw 23.29%

Umraniyespor	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 25.26%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.45%