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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
Kadir Has Sehir Stadi
A

Kayserispor
1 - 0
Alanyaspor

Kemen (64')
Thiam (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ozdemir (58'), Aliti (62'), Janvier (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 1-2 Kayserispor
Friday, October 27 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-2 Sivasspor
Saturday, October 28 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kayserispor 2-1 Alanyaspor

Given their poor away record this season, Alanyaspor will throw everything at trying to finally get a win on the board. However, we feel that Kayserispor are playing well enough to win this contest even without reaching top gear, leading us to predict a narrow home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.

Result
KayserisporDrawAlanyaspor
53.37% (7.076 7.08) 23.01% (-1.423 -1.42) 23.62% (-5.661 -5.66)
Both teams to score 56.76% (-0.401 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.52% (1.844 1.84)43.48% (-1.85 -1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.13% (1.787 1.79)65.87% (-1.794 -1.79)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74% (3.423 3.42)16.26% (-3.429 -3.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2% (5.882 5.88)45.8% (-5.889 -5.89)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-3.392 -3.39)32.22% (3.386 3.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-4.023 -4.02)68.71% (4.017 4.02)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 53.37%
    Alanyaspor 23.62%
    Draw 23%
KayserisporDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.466 0.47)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.291 0.29)
2-0 @ 8.64% (1.147 1.15)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.876 0.88)
3-0 @ 5.23% (1.172 1.17)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.639 0.64)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.726 0.73)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.248 0.25)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.7 -0.7)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.438 -0.44)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 6.1% (-1.031 -1.03)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-1.126 -1.13)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-1.029 -1.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.654 -0.65)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.551 -0.55)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 23.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-2 Kayserispor
Friday, October 27 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 3-1 Caykur Rizespor
Saturday, October 21 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 3-0 Kayserispor
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-0 Istanbul
Monday, October 2 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Kayserispor
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 2-0 Gaziantep
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-2 Sivasspor
Saturday, October 28 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Alanyaspor
Monday, October 23 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 2-1 Karagumruk
Friday, October 6 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 4-0 Alanyaspor
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 0-1 Fenerbahce
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-3 Kasimpasa
Sunday, September 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig


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