SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Samsunspor | Draw | Besiktas |
38.15% ( -1.17) | 24.55% ( 0.25) | 37.3% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.48% ( -1.12) | 43.52% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( -1.11) | 65.91% ( 1.11) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -1.08) | 22.7% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( -1.62) | 56.35% ( 1.62) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( -0.02) | 23.13% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( -0.03) | 57% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.3% |
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