SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Ankaragucu |
32.18% ( 0.01) | 25.95% ( 0.04) | 41.88% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( -0.14) | 50.67% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( -0.12) | 72.57% ( 0.13) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( -0.07) | 29.55% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% ( -0.08) | 65.58% ( 0.08) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( -0.08) | 23.98% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% ( -0.12) | 58.22% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Ankaragucu |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.87% |
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