SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
32.1% ( -0.58) | 23.95% ( -0.33) | 43.95% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.23% ( 1.34) | 41.77% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.83% ( 1.34) | 64.17% ( -1.33) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 0.3) | 25.24% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( 0.41) | 59.99% ( -0.41) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( 0.95) | 19.24% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.04% ( 1.53) | 50.96% ( -1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.1% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.95% |
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